March 26, 2017

Midterm Elections of New Presidents

Among the 5 Presidents who preceded Barack Obama, the only President whose political party did not lose seats in either the House or Senate in their 1st midterm election as President was George W. Bush. Every other President’s party lost an average of 16 seats in the House and 2 seats in the Senate, as the chart below shows. The approval rating for each of the last 6 Presidents during the September before the midterm is also displayed, which George Bush Sr. leads with 74% approval. Additionally, notice that the higher the approval rating of the President, the better his party generally did in the midterm.

The trend for the 1st midterm of new Presidents is basic - the other party is generally favored.

Comments

  1. interesting, thanks

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