If the Senatorial elections were held today, Democrats would maintain control of the Senate, but not before Republicans pick up 8 seats, according to a weighted average of the polls for each race. Since there are currently 59 Democrats and 41 Republicans in the Senate, today’s hypothetical election would result with Democrats maintaining a Senate majority, albeit a slight one. Still, the last midterm cycle a President lost 8 seats in the Senate was in 1994. The map below illustrates the outcome of today’s election, courtesy of Real Clear Politics. Without a doubt, several of the outcomes in the map below could shift in the next 4 weeks, such as Colorado, Nevada, Kentucky, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Washington. Therefore, Republicans could still muster a majority in the Senate, or Democrats could maintain more than a slight majority.
Senate Outcome with No Toss-Ups: